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Conditional probability
Learn conditional probability with a GCSE-style explanation, help guide, worked example, practice question and flashcards.
ProbabilityGCSE25 XP completion3 flashcards
1. Explanation
Key idea
- Conditional probability is part of probability and appears often in KS3–GCSE maths.
- Conditional probability depends on what has already happened.
- Use the worked model, help guide, interactive question and flashcards to practise conditional probability until the steps feel automatic.
Real-life examples
- Shopping, sport, travel, science, design and everyday decisions all use this skill.
2. Visual
Conditional probability learning map
Understand the key idea → follow the help guide → practise a question → check your method → build speed with flashcards.
3. Help guide
How to tackle Conditional probability
- Learn the rule: Conditional probability depends on what has already happened.
- Worked model: Update the sample space after the condition. Count favourable outcomes. Write the new probability.
- Try the interactive question without looking at the answer first.
- Use the flashcards to test the rule, the method and a common check.
4. Worked examples
Step-by-step working
Conditional probability
- Update the sample space after the condition.
- Count favourable outcomes.
- Write the new probability.
Answer: Without replacement changes the second probability
5. Interactive questions
Try it yourself
There are 3 red and 2 blue counters. One red is removed. What is P(red next)?
6. Flashcards
Master quick recall
Flip each card, then choose whether you know it or need more practice.
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FrontRule for Conditional probability
BackConditional probability depends on what has already happened.
FrontExample answer: There are 3 red and 2 blue counters. One red is removed. What is P(red next)?
BackAfter a red is removed, 4 counters remain and 2 are red. P(red) = 2/4 = 1/2.
FrontCommon check for Conditional probability
BackCheck units/notation, compare with an estimate, and make sure the answer matches the question.
7. Finish
Complete this topic
When you have read the examples, tried the question and reviewed flashcards, claim your topic completion XP.