← Back to Chance

🎲 Probability

Conditional probability

Learn conditional probability with a GCSE-style explanation, help guide, worked example, practice question and flashcards.

ProbabilityGCSE25 XP completion3 flashcards

Global XP

Level 1

0 / 100 XP

1. Explanation

Key idea

Real-life examples

2. Visual

Conditional probability learning map

Understand the key idea → follow the help guide → practise a question → check your method → build speed with flashcards.

3. Help guide

How to tackle Conditional probability

  1. Learn the rule: Conditional probability depends on what has already happened.
  2. Worked model: Update the sample space after the condition. Count favourable outcomes. Write the new probability.
  3. Try the interactive question without looking at the answer first.
  4. Use the flashcards to test the rule, the method and a common check.

4. Worked examples

Step-by-step working

Conditional probability

  1. Update the sample space after the condition.
  2. Count favourable outcomes.
  3. Write the new probability.

Answer: Without replacement changes the second probability

5. Interactive questions

Try it yourself

There are 3 red and 2 blue counters. One red is removed. What is P(red next)?

6. Flashcards

Master quick recall

Flip each card, then choose whether you know it or need more practice.

0 mastered
FrontRule for Conditional probability
BackConditional probability depends on what has already happened.
FrontExample answer: There are 3 red and 2 blue counters. One red is removed. What is P(red next)?
BackAfter a red is removed, 4 counters remain and 2 are red. P(red) = 2/4 = 1/2.
FrontCommon check for Conditional probability
BackCheck units/notation, compare with an estimate, and make sure the answer matches the question.

7. Finish

Complete this topic

When you have read the examples, tried the question and reviewed flashcards, claim your topic completion XP.